{"id":7435,"date":"2020-02-14T11:18:02","date_gmt":"2020-02-14T14:18:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tdibrasil.org\/?p=7435"},"modified":"2021-10-10T03:37:35","modified_gmt":"2021-10-10T06:37:35","slug":"a-falsificacao-popperiana-e-util-em-biologia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdibrasil.org\/index.php\/2020\/02\/14\/a-falsificacao-popperiana-e-util-em-biologia\/","title":{"rendered":"A Falsifica\u00e7\u00e3o Popperiana \u00e9 \u00datil em Biologia?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
…<\/center><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\n

Por Paul Nelson<\/strong><\/p>\n

Meu orientador de doutorado me disse uma vez, depois de ler um rascunho meu do cap\u00edtulo sobre o teste de ancestralidade comum universal: \u201cVoc\u00ea est\u00e1 muito interessado em falsifica\u00e7\u00e3o, Paul. N\u00e3o \u00e9 assim que a teoria da evolu\u00e7\u00e3o funciona.\u201d<\/p>\n

Bem, tudo bem.\u00a0N\u00e3o se quer for\u00e7ar uma teoria a uma camisa de for\u00e7a filos\u00f3fica, se a teoria estiver indo bem, como est\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Algu\u00e9m deve querer ALGUMAS consequ\u00eancias, no entanto, se uma teoria afirmar que \u201cDe acordo com a nossa teoria, A \u00e9 o caso, exceto se A n\u00e3o for o caso.\u201d Se o galo estiver sobre a cerca, como diz o ditado popular, chover\u00e1 amanh\u00e3 ou ent\u00e3o n\u00e3o vai chover amanh\u00e3. Temos todas as possibilidades cobertas: nossa teoria \u00e9 totalmente geral e abrangente.<\/p>\n

N\u00e3o \u00e9 uma teoria saud\u00e1vel<\/strong><\/p>\n

Isso n\u00e3o \u00e9 conhecimento.\u00a0E isso n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma teoria saud\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n

Um\u00a0editorial de acesso aberto\u00a0(cujo t\u00edtulo peguei emprestado para a manchete), pelo bi\u00f3logo holand\u00eas Dave Speijer, vale uma olhada em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a esta quest\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

\u201cA teoria evolucion\u00e1ria\u201d, escreve ele, \u201cnos convida a tolerar exce\u00e7\u00f5es.\u201d Acho que isso \u00e9 extremamente errado. Uma teoria que previsse<\/em> as exce\u00e7\u00f5es a suas regras e generaliza\u00e7\u00f5es transmitiria conhecimento.\u00a0Uma teoria que “tolera exce\u00e7\u00f5es”, no entanto, terminar\u00e1 em um mapeamento 1:1 com o que se observa – nesse caso, a teoria n\u00e3o est\u00e1 funcionando, simplesmente vagando atr\u00e1s dos dados como um filhote de cachorro na coleira.<\/p>\n

Racionalizando previs\u00f5es com falha<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stephen Jay Gould gostava muito da no\u00e7\u00e3o de “conting\u00eancia”, que ele usaria para racionalizar a imprecis\u00e3o das predi\u00e7\u00f5es. Se isso parecer um julgamento duro, considere a \u00faltima frase deste artigo<\/a>, comentando a posi\u00e7\u00e3o de Gould:<\/p>\n

\n

Os organismos tendem a alcan\u00e7ar solu\u00e7\u00f5es semelhantes para problemas semelhantes, mas dado tempo suficiente (ou seja, evolu\u00e7\u00e3o) (ou uma popula\u00e7\u00e3o pequena o suficiente) e tudo \u00e9 poss\u00edvel.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

“Tudo \u00e9 poss\u00edvel” pode at\u00e9 ser verdade – mas n\u00e3o finja que voc\u00ea tem uma teoria que est\u00e1 explicando alguma coisa. Voc\u00ea n\u00e3o tem.<\/p>\n

\n

Original: Paul Nelson<\/strong>. \u201cIs Popperian Falsification Useful in Biology?\u201d<\/a> February 11, 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uma teoria que “tolera exce\u00e7\u00f5es”, no entanto, terminar\u00e1 em um mapeamento 1:1 com o que se observa – nesse caso, a teoria n\u00e3o est\u00e1 funcionando, simplesmente vagando atr\u00e1s dos dados como um filhote de cachorro na coleira.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7438,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,20,21,31,33],"tags":[383,416,419,751,753],"class_list":["post-7435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-epistemologia","category-filosofia","category-filosofia-da-ciencia","category-metafisica","category-modelo-teorico","tag-evolucao","tag-falseabilidade","tag-falsificacionismo","tag-ponto-de-falseabilidade","tag-popper"],"yoast_head":"\nA Falsifica\u00e7\u00e3o Popperiana \u00e9 \u00datil em Biologia? » Portal TDI Brasil +<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Uma teoria que "tolera exce\u00e7\u00f5es", no entanto, terminar\u00e1 em um mapeamento 1:1 com o que se observa - nesse caso, a teoria n\u00e3o est\u00e1 funcionando, simplesmente vagando atr\u00e1s dos dados como um filhote de cachorro na coleira.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tdibrasil.org\/index.php\/2020\/02\/14\/a-falsificacao-popperiana-e-util-em-biologia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Falsifica\u00e7\u00e3o Popperiana \u00e9 \u00datil em Biologia? 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